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Chapter 14 of 20 · starts at 42:01 · 3 min

Risk-based decision making

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NAFI MentorLIVE logoFrom MentorLIVE #55: Weather A Meteorologists Perspective · Dr. Trey Cade · NAFI

All 20 chapters in this program

  1. 0:00 Welcome and introducing Dr. Trey Cade 6 min
  2. 6:02 Dr. Trey Cade: how forecasts are made 3 min
  3. 9:00 Physics-based models 3 min
  4. 12:00 A simple chaos example 3 min
  5. 15:00 Truncating the numbers 3 min
  6. 18:03 The nature of the atmosphere 3 min
  7. 21:01 Uncertainty grows 3 min
  8. 24:02 Divergent forecasts 3 min
  9. 27:01 Ensemble forecasting 3 min
  10. 30:00 Consensus forecasts 3 min
  11. 33:02 Probability forecasts 3 min
  12. 36:01 What a deterministic forecast needs 3 min
  13. 39:00 A right forecast vs a good forecast 3 min
  14. 42:01 Risk-based decision making 3 min
  15. 45:01 Authorized weather resources 3 min
  16. 48:00 Deterministic forecasts aren't going away 3 min
  17. 51:03 A shift in mindset 3 min
  18. 54:00 Analog forecasting and machine learning 3 min
  19. 57:03 Rapid refresh models 3 min
  20. 1:00:00 Uncertainty and the TAF 4 min